Friday, August 22, 2008

The Results Of A Mortgage Perfect Storm Are Seen Below

Category: Finance, Mortgages.

In matters of home mortgage loan financing, you would have to be from another planet to not know about the current challenges in real estate financing.



Thousands of jobs have been lost in the mortgage industry at all levels from corporate CEO s to mortgage brokers. What started as a sub prime mortgage problem has quickly evolved into a full fledged industry crisis. There are ongoing investigations that may result in criminal charges, and criminal convictions if guilt is determined. The so- called predatory lenders. A lot of media exposure has been focused on one side of the story. These are the people that knowingly, without concern or consideration, encouraged borrowers to make loan commitments on properties that among other things, had inflated home appraisals.


That means the borrowers went into the mortgage committed to pay more for the property than the property was worth. The results were properties that were over financed. That raises a question. The consequences of inflated appraisals, has created a literal house of cards. Were the home appraisals inflated because of incompetence, or simple mistakes, fraud? It has nothing to do with the federal government.


They are responsible for making sure the company placed a good quality mortgage loan. In lender office suites the top down pressure was so great to turn over the loans as quickly as possible, many underwriters found it almost impossible to do their jobs. The idea of unacceptable mortgage loan packages meant someone did not get paid. Many lender actions were driven by selfishness and greed. The euphoria of profit consumed the industry. It had nothing to do with the federal government.


Mortgage products were so diverse, there was something for everyone. If borrowers could" fog a mirror" they got a mortgage loan. Low down payments and no down payments. Full documentation loans took a back seat to No Documentation loans. Low interest rate loans and interest only loans. On the other side of the table, borrowers fudged their numbers to qualify for mortgage loans they knew they could not afford, and lenders were anxious for them to apply. Too many people lied to one another, and nobody seemed to care.


What started as a proud tradition of home value creation evolved into a bad case of" liars poker" . It had nothing to do with the federal government. When the borrower s loans are approved with weak to non- existent qualification criteria and mortgage lenders are motivated by money volume it creates a mortgage lending" perfect storm" . In the mortgage lending industry when lenders are driven by money volume instead of asset value, it can create stormy conditions. The results of a mortgage perfect storm are seen below. Home sale prices are consistently dropping. Many homes are over- financed.


Time on the market is getting longer. Even with low interest rates, the qualification criteria are stricter than ever. Housing inventories are larger by the day. The mortgage qualification pendulum has swung one hundred eighty degrees. The key here is all of this mortgage loan activity was done in the private sector. Values in hedge funds, REITs, mutual funds, pension funds, and other financial, IRAs instruments have been drastically reduced as a result of the mounting foreclosures, suspended operations, bankruptcies, and changes in the secondary market investment criteria. It was done without federal government involvement.


As you have seen, none of the problems was their responsibility. Even though the consequences of these actions are felt by many Americans and other global investors, the solutions should not be expected to come from the federal government. Solutions like HR 3915 address the needs of a few people, but not nearly enough to provide the impact they hope for. The solutions should come from the people that are responsible for creating the problems, the mortgage companies and the borrowers that were so motivated by selfishness and greed. Regardless, tax payers should not be expected to pay for this solution. Choices have consequences.


Their investigations should reveal the kinds of oversight that should be imposed to make sure circumstances like these do not happen again. Industry regulators should be expected to investigate what has happened, and how and why it was allowed to happen. It will also determine if current laws have been violated and who should be prosecuted. We often say, "he who has the gold, makes the rules. " That simply means the lenders control all of the notes and mortgage loans the borrowers are committed to. One of many possible solutions that does not require federal government involvement has not received the kind of traction it deserves. Even though each borrower s case has much in common with lots of people, every situation is unique.


This simple but powerful action will solve a lot of problems before people go through the needless stress and expense of foreclosure. The lenders have the ability to pro actively modify the notes and home mortgages for every borrower that can justify a modification. This would also be a tremendous demonstration of" outside the box" problem solving by the lenders. If you do the crime, you do the time. To make unilateral, widespread concessions for borrowers that are clearly guilty of their own brand of selfishness and greed would not be fair or effective. A large number of the guilty lenders are already out of business by virtue of bankruptcy or suspended mortgage loan operations. The really good news is the fact that however long it takes for the mortgage lending industry to right itself, home sellers have the ability to fund the sale of their properties without the need for a bank or a mortgage lender!


The turmoil that exists will take some time to correct. That is one of the best kept secrets in the home mortgage industry. Here is the really good part. Home owners can actually control their own property sale and fund the sale of their property without a bank or a mortgage lender. Home owners can not only fund their buyers by financing their own property, they can also get their cash at closing! This creative type of financing, that puts the home owner in control of the home financing, is gaining needed traction and momentum.


All of this can be done without a bank or a mortgage lender to slow things down. After all it is a solution to very real problems. We have always been recognized, and appreciated around, respected the world for our creativity, and resourcefulness, imagination. Finally, I just want to remind you that the freedom we have in this country is not free. It is not our government that makes this country great, it is our people. Copyright� 2007 TDO Properties, LLC All Rights Reserved


Let the government do what it is bound to do by the Constitution, and let the people do what we do, solve our own problems with creativity and ingenuity.

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